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Red82
150729.3
63029.3
326024.0
Blue25
332414.0
319324.4
90978.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7149204060801001208225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#18
29.30.4
27.828.2
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End2.4
red by 4.9
3193
#23
24.41.4
25.423.9
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Second
24.00.4
23.523.9
Auto9.2
Teleop11.4
End3.4
red by 10.0
3324
#37
14.02.2
14.312.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End1.8
Third
6302
#46
9.30.4
10.010.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End1.8
red by 1.3
9097
#40
8.01.4
7.05.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed