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Red50
320133.8
60329.3
201018.6
Blue53
457619.0
814012.9
260321.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74552040801001205053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
#14
33.81.0
33.632.7
Auto13.8
Teleop16.8
End3.2
red by 11.9
2603
#33
21.90.0
22.322.3
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Second
2010
#25
18.61.0
19.718.7
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 0.4
4576
#17
19.00.0
16.616.6
Auto8.7
Teleop8.4
End1.9
Third
6032
#47
9.31.4
11.510.1
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 3.7
8140
#38
12.90.0
13.413.4
Auto6.7
Teleop6.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed