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Red66
566728.5
402833.9
82225.4
Blue59
201018.6
446725.1
12814.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6868506080906659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.2
30.831.0
Auto11.4
Teleop16.6
End5.8
red by 8.7
4467
#12
25.10.7
26.225.5
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End3.8
Second
28.50.2
26.827.0
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End0.8
red by 9.9
2010
#25
18.60.7
18.717.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Third
8222
#49
5.40.2
5.25.4
Auto3.7
Teleop1.6
End0.1
blue by 9.1
128
#34
14.51.0
15.014.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed