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Red77
260321.9
824318.4
746018.9
Blue50
693614.7
4828.4
426912.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676101002003004007750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2603
#33
21.90.3
22.322.0
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
blue by 6.5
48
#7
28.40.4
27.326.9
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End1.2
Second
18.90.3
19.018.7
Auto9.3
Teleop7.1
End2.4
red by 4.2
6936
#42
14.70.5
16.916.4
Auto7.3
Teleop4.4
End3.0
Third
8243
#27
18.40.3
18.318.0
Auto3.2
Teleop11.9
End3.3
red by 6.2
4269
#39
12.20.5
11.711.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned