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Red28
574017.9
408518.5
130810.1
Blue63
349215.7
101417.3
55420.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57583040506070802863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4085
#11
18.51.7
20.718.9
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End0.6
blue by 1.7
554
#13
20.21.3
19.120.4
Auto7.5
Teleop9.5
End3.2
Second
5740
#35
17.91.7
20.819.1
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End2.0
red by 0.6
1014
#32
17.30.9
15.216.1
Auto6.7
Teleop7.2
End3.5
Third
1308
#50
10.11.7
12.510.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End1.7
blue by 5.6
3492
#22
15.70.9
15.216.1
Auto7.8
Teleop7.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned