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Red46
318420.2
549218.4
839318.3
Blue58
696415.9
60329.3
566728.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685401001504658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#28
20.20.9
20.819.9
Auto8.7
Teleop10.1
End1.5
blue by 8.3
28.50.5
27.027.5
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End0.8
Second
5492
#44
18.40.9
19.318.4
Auto6.9
Teleop10.2
End1.3
red by 2.5
6964
#45
15.90.5
14.615.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End2.1
Third
8393
#26
18.30.9
19.418.5
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
red by 9.0
6032
#47
9.30.6
8.79.3
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed