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Red86
45119.7
402833.9
814515.4
Blue73
457619.0
320133.8
824318.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73754050607080901008673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.1
31.030.9
Auto11.4
Teleop16.6
End5.8
Level
3201
#14
33.80.4
32.833.2
Auto13.8
Teleop16.8
End3.2
Second
451
#21
19.70.1
19.519.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End1.3
red by 0.6
4576
#17
19.00.4
16.617.0
Auto8.7
Teleop8.4
End1.9
Third
8145
#43
15.40.1
15.615.4
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End1.0
blue by 2.9
8243
#27
18.40.4
18.018.4
Auto3.2
Teleop11.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned51%Ensemble oddsMissed