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Red72
67715.2
101417.3
457619.0
Blue67
426912.2
696415.9
150729.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51622040801001207267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4576
#17
19.01.2
17.018.2
Auto8.7
Teleop8.4
End1.9
blue by 10.3
1507
#18
29.30.8
28.329.1
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End2.4
Second
1014
#32
17.31.2
16.117.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.2
End3.5
red by 1.4
6964
#45
15.90.8
15.115.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End2.1
Third
677
#36
15.21.2
14.015.2
Auto6.7
Teleop6.5
End2.1
red by 3.1
4269
#39
12.21.0
11.112.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsMissed