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Red57
14432.5
839318.3
408518.5
Blue91
414528.6
4828.4
457619.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78822040601001201405791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#16
32.50.6
33.132.5
Auto12.3
Teleop17.7
End2.5
red by 3.9
4145
#10
28.60.3
27.828.0
Auto9.4
Teleop18.5
End0.8
Second
4085
#11
18.50.6
19.118.5
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End0.6
blue by 9.9
48
#7
28.40.3
27.527.8
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End1.2
Third
8393
#26
18.30.6
18.918.3
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
blue by 0.7
4576
#17
19.00.3
18.218.4
Auto8.7
Teleop8.4
End1.9