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Red103
566728.5
461128.8
319324.4
Blue80
45119.7
320133.8
12814.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91722040608010012014010380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.5
28.328.8
Auto9.3
Teleop16.7
End2.7
blue by 5.1
3201
#14
33.80.3
33.533.8
Auto13.8
Teleop16.8
End3.2
Second
28.50.5
28.028.5
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End0.8
red by 8.8
451
#21
19.70.3
19.419.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End1.3
Third
3193
#23
24.40.5
24.024.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End2.0
red by 10.0
128
#34
14.50.3
14.114.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End1.8