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Red49
239918.9
618115.2
201018.6
Blue50
45119.7
103824.6
101415.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576801001502002503003504950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto7.3
Teleop9.6
End2.0
blue by 5.7
1038
Unranked
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End5.8
Second
2010
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 1.0
451
Unranked
19.70.0
19.719.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End1.3
Third
6181
Unranked
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.9
End4.4
blue by 0.5
1014
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody odds49%Melody odds
Ensemble
24%Ensemble odds67%Ensemble odds