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Red84
408518.5
320133.8
101415.8
Blue83
37930.4
414525.1
319326.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73930501502002508483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
Unranked
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto13.8
Teleop16.8
End3.2
red by 3.4
379
Unranked
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto13.0
Teleop11.5
End5.9
Second
4085
Unranked
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End0.6
blue by 7.5
3193
Unranked
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End1.6
Third
1014
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End3.3
blue by 9.3
4145
Unranked
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto9.1
Teleop14.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody odds89%Melody odds
Ensemble
57%Ensemble odds14%Ensemble odds