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Red71
976712.7
566729.2
581128.3
Blue27
814515.4
408518.5
814012.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions824701001507127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5667
Unranked
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End0.8
red by 10.7
4085
Unranked
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End0.6
Second
5811
Unranked
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End3.1
red by 12.9
8145
Unranked
15.40.0
15.415.4
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End1.0
Third
9767
Unranked
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End0.5
blue by 0.3
8140
Unranked
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto6.7
Teleop6.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody odds56%Melody odds
Ensemble
8%Ensemble odds5%Ensemble odds