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Red30
814012.9
976712.7
103824.6
Blue66
348423.3
4828.4
37930.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions499701503066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1038
Unranked
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End5.8
blue by 5.8
379
Unranked
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto13.0
Teleop11.5
End5.9
Second
8140
Unranked
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto6.7
Teleop6.2
End0.1
blue by 15.4
48
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End1.2
Third
9767
Unranked
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End0.5
blue by 10.7
3484
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto10.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody odds96%Melody odds
Ensemble
26%Ensemble odds24%Ensemble odds