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Red81
103824.6
217217.0
37930.4
Blue69
581128.3
814515.4
225229.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80806070901008169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
Unranked
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto13.0
Teleop11.5
End5.9
red by 1.4
2252
Unranked
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto8.6
Teleop18.7
End1.8
Second
1038
Unranked
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End5.8
blue by 3.8
5811
Unranked
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End3.1
Third
2172
Unranked
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End2.4
red by 1.5
8145
Unranked
15.40.0
15.415.4
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody odds77%Melody odds
Ensemble
76%Ensemble odds9%Ensemble odds