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Red89
178740.5
201018.6
225229.0
Blue67
348423.3
814012.9
461137.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100780501502008967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
Unranked
40.50.0
40.540.5
Auto10.5
Teleop26.5
End3.5
red by 3.2
4611
Unranked
37.30.0
37.337.3
Auto12.6
Teleop22.3
End2.4
Second
2252
Unranked
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto8.6
Teleop18.7
End1.8
red by 5.7
3484
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto10.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8
Third
2010
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 5.7
8140
Unranked
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto6.7
Teleop6.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody odds89%Melody odds
Ensemble
24%Ensemble odds8%Ensemble odds