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Red109
217217.0
32533.8
320133.8
Blue52
461137.3
976712.7
4828.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958505015010952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
Unranked
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto13.8
Teleop16.8
End3.2
blue by 3.5
4611
Unranked
37.30.0
37.337.3
Auto12.6
Teleop22.3
End2.4
Second
325
Unranked
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto11.3
Teleop19.8
End2.7
red by 5.4
48
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End1.2
Third
2172
Unranked
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End2.4
red by 4.3
9767
Unranked
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody odds92%Melody odds
Ensemble
40%Ensemble odds14%Ensemble odds