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Red44
618115.2
225229.0
976712.7
Blue59
91948.2
683417.1
581128.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64592040801001204459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
Unranked
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto8.6
Teleop18.7
End1.8
red by 0.7
5811
Unranked
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End3.1
Second
6181
Unranked
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.9
End4.4
blue by 1.9
6834
Unranked
17.10.0
17.117.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Third
9767
Unranked
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.4
End0.5
red by 4.4
9194
Unranked
8.20.0
8.28.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody odds68%Melody odds
Ensemble
19%Ensemble odds40%Ensemble odds