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Red106
93527.8
120924.9
156132.5
Blue102
237325.1
940128.7
212237.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9399406080120140160106102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.5
32.332.8
Auto12.1
Teleop19.8
End0.6
blue by 4.8
37.30.3
36.636.9
Auto10.5
Teleop21.6
End5.1
Second
935
#18
27.80.5
27.628.1
Auto11.7
Teleop13.9
End2.2
blue by 0.9
9401
#12
28.70.3
28.128.4
Auto11.5
Teleop15.3
End1.9
Third
1209
#13
24.90.5
24.725.2
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End0.2
blue by 0.2
2373
#19
25.10.4
24.324.6
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End2.1