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Red39
501329.7
208323.9
235212.1
Blue78
808613.9
156132.5
3124.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6546020801001201403978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5013
#16
29.71.2
26.325.1
Auto10.5
Teleop17.5
End1.7
blue by 2.7
32.52.5
18.621.2
Auto12.1
Teleop19.8
End0.6
Second
23.91.4
19.418.0
Auto8.5
Teleop12.6
End2.8
blue by 0.1
31
#9
24.02.8
14.016.7
Auto11.2
Teleop10.8
End1.9
Third
2352
#42
12.11.4
10.69.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.3
End0.5
blue by 1.8
8086
#26
13.93.8
11.415.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed