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Red38
97018.1
93527.8
31637.7
Blue44
680911.1
77447.0
664726.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413820305060703844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#18
27.80.1
19.819.9
Auto11.7
Teleop13.9
End2.2
red by 1.8
6647
#10
26.00.2
20.119.9
Auto3.8
Teleop21.5
End0.7
Second
9701
#48
8.10.2
8.08.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End0.3
blue by 3.0
6809
#32
11.10.2
10.09.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End1.8
Third
3163
#47
7.70.2
8.78.9
Auto6.2
Teleop1.1
End0.3
red by 0.7
7744
#46
7.00.2
4.54.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned