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Red46
460322.0
181919.2
949522.5
Blue55
324717.7
808613.9
555023.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605002004006008001,0004655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.9
16.115.2
Auto8.1
Teleop11.6
End2.7
blue by 0.8
5550
#25
23.30.3
18.919.2
Auto10.4
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Second
4603
#21
22.00.8
20.519.6
Auto7.6
Teleop12.4
End2.0
red by 4.3
3247
#17
17.70.4
12.112.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End2.0
Third
1819
#22
19.20.8
16.816.0
Auto5.7
Teleop13.0
End0.5
red by 5.4
8086
#26
13.90.4
15.115.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed