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Red97
234114.4
501329.7
212237.3
Blue37
216517.4
450028.0
366011.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785102040601001201401609737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.32.0
30.532.5
Auto10.5
Teleop21.6
End5.1
red by 9.2
4500
#20
28.00.9
25.024.1
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End1.5
Second
5013
#16
29.72.0
25.127.1
Auto10.5
Teleop17.5
End1.7
red by 12.3
2165
#11
17.40.8
14.914.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End2.1
Third
2341
#38
14.42.0
11.813.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.7
End1.7
red by 3.1
3660
#39
11.21.4
9.78.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed