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Red64
235212.1
400514.2
940128.7
Blue94
93527.8
5934.8
602622.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3785020601001201401606494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9401
#12
28.71.7
21.523.2
Auto11.5
Teleop15.3
End1.9
blue by 6.0
59
#4
34.81.2
33.534.6
Auto11.0
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Second
4005
#28
14.21.9
9.010.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.8
End1.9
blue by 13.7
935
#18
27.81.2
19.921.1
Auto11.7
Teleop13.9
End2.2
Third
2352
#42
12.11.7
8.410.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.3
End0.5
blue by 10.3
22.41.2
18.019.2
Auto8.9
Teleop11.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned