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Red49
277315.0
940128.7
234114.4
Blue64
94725.5
208323.9
664726.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525030406070804964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9401
#12
28.70.2
23.223.3
Auto11.5
Teleop15.3
End1.9
red by 2.8
6647
#10
26.01.2
21.122.3
Auto3.8
Teleop21.5
End0.7
Second
2773
#23
15.00.2
9.59.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 8.9
23.91.2
19.320.5
Auto8.5
Teleop12.6
End2.8
Third
2341
#38
14.40.2
13.914.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.7
End1.7
red by 8.8
9472
#45
5.51.2
5.46.7
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed