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Red55
216517.4
946215.8
74649.9
Blue28
31637.7
235212.1
96679.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392802060805528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2165
#11
17.41.1
14.415.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End2.1
red by 5.3
2352
#42
12.10.1
10.010.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.3
End0.5
Second
9462
#41
15.81.1
12.413.6
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End0.6
red by 6.4
9667
#36
9.40.1
6.66.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End0.4
Third
7464
#43
9.91.9
7.39.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End0.5
red by 2.2
3163
#47
7.70.1
10.110.3
Auto6.2
Teleop1.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed