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Red74
156132.5
460322.0
208323.9
Blue27
400514.2
31637.7
316023.3
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions804320601001201407427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.4
26.927.3
Auto12.1
Teleop19.8
End0.6
red by 9.2
3160
#15
23.31.4
20.619.2
Auto8.1
Teleop13.6
End1.6
Second
23.90.4
21.521.8
Auto8.5
Teleop12.6
End2.8
red by 9.7
4005
#28
14.21.4
12.411.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.8
End1.9
Third
4603
#21
22.00.4
19.820.2
Auto7.6
Teleop12.4
End2.0
red by 14.3
3163
#47
7.72.4
10.37.9
Auto6.2
Teleop1.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed