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Red62
31637.7
156132.5
346517.1
Blue84
212237.3
235212.1
452319.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55742040801001206284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.7
27.328.0
Auto12.1
Teleop19.8
End0.6
blue by 4.8
37.30.6
36.136.7
Auto10.5
Teleop21.6
End5.1
Second
3465
#29
17.10.7
16.717.4
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End2.3
blue by 2.3
19.40.6
17.418.1
Auto8.0
Teleop9.9
End1.4
Third
3163
#47
7.71.0
7.98.9
Auto6.2
Teleop1.1
End0.3
blue by 4.4
2352
#42
12.10.6
11.211.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsEarned