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Red72
316023.3
93527.8
808613.9
Blue28
871113.0
234114.4
97018.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68320204060801001201407228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#18
27.81.0
24.625.6
Auto11.7
Teleop13.9
End2.2
red by 13.4
2341
#38
14.40.3
12.011.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.7
End1.7
Second
3160
#15
23.31.0
19.220.2
Auto8.1
Teleop13.6
End1.6
red by 10.3
8711
#31
13.00.3
12.712.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End2.0
Third
8086
#26
13.91.6
13.114.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.9
red by 5.8
9701
#48
8.10.5
8.58.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed