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Red34
233321.7
450028.0
77447.0
Blue52
346517.1
511919.6
324717.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5644020801001201401603452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#20
28.01.4
24.122.7
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End1.5
red by 8.4
5119
#33
19.60.7
16.917.6
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End1.6
Second
2333
#27
21.71.3
18.817.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.7
End1.7
red by 4.0
3247
#17
17.71.2
10.011.1
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End2.0
Third
7744
#46
7.01.3
6.75.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.2
End0.8
blue by 10.1
3465
#29
17.10.9
14.715.5
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed