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Red42
23955.3
3124.0
680911.1
Blue46
946215.8
400514.2
96679.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43432530354045505560654246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31
#9
24.00.2
23.122.9
Auto11.2
Teleop10.8
End1.9
red by 8.1
9462
#41
15.80.6
15.215.8
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End0.6
Second
6809
#32
11.10.2
11.311.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End1.8
blue by 3.1
4005
#28
14.20.6
13.614.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.8
End1.9
Third
2395
#40
5.30.2
5.55.3
Auto3.1
Teleop1.1
End1.1
blue by 4.1
9667
#36
9.40.8
8.69.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed