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Red85
173023.0
871110.2
642432.5
Blue55
156116.3
432921.5
294517.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74612040801001201408555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.1
32.432.5
Auto13.1
Teleop15.1
End4.2
red by 11.1
21.50.3
21.821.5
Auto6.8
Teleop13.4
End1.3
Second
23.00.1
22.923.0
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End2.7
red by 5.3
2945
#12
17.70.3
18.017.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Third
8711
#19
10.20.1
10.010.2
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End1.7
blue by 6.2
1561
#28
16.30.3
16.616.3
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End0.5