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Red43
235210.5
45239.3
173023.0
Blue29
588911.4
294517.7
77446.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46371020305060704329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.3
16.816.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End2.7
red by 5.3
2945
#12
17.71.8
12.811.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Second
2352
#33
10.50.3
12.812.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End0.7
blue by 0.9
5889
#39
11.41.8
13.411.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End0.6
Third
4523
#21
9.30.3
10.910.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.4
End0.2
red by 2.6
7744
#30
6.71.8
8.76.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned