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Red52
555020.3
42939.9
235911.9
Blue72
449924.8
173023.0
346514.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406320801005272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.31.5
15.617.1
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End1.5
blue by 4.5
4499
#13
24.81.8
19.120.8
Auto9.5
Teleop11.2
End4.1
Second
2359
#29
11.91.5
11.913.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End1.5
blue by 11.1
23.01.8
21.022.7
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Third
4293
#23
9.91.5
11.112.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End1.1
blue by 4.7
3465
#20
14.71.8
14.115.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned