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Red29
42939.9
3112.4
92449.8
Blue41
432921.5
94725.2
27737.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372801020506070802941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31
#25
12.40.4
12.912.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End1.9
blue by 9.1
21.51.6
17.218.8
Auto6.8
Teleop13.4
End1.3
Second
4293
#23
9.90.4
11.411.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End1.1
red by 2.0
2773
#37
7.91.6
3.85.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End1.5
Third
9244
#38
9.80.4
8.48.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End1.1
red by 4.5
9472
#32
5.21.6
5.67.2
Auto3.6
Teleop1.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed