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Red39
441813.7
216512.7
68099.2
Blue44
432921.5
3112.4
946211.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30500204060803944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4418
#17
13.70.9
10.911.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End0.4
blue by 7.8
21.50.1
20.420.4
Auto6.8
Teleop13.4
End1.3
Second
2165
#40
12.70.9
12.213.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.6
End1.9
red by 0.4
31
#25
12.40.1
12.512.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Third
6809
#41
9.20.9
6.87.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.1
End1.6
blue by 2.6
9462
#15
11.80.1
10.310.4
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed