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Red58
346514.7
45239.3
120918.0
Blue64
328416.7
432921.5
156116.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3759020801005864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1209
#10
18.01.8
16.117.8
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End0.9
blue by 3.4
21.51.0
20.421.4
Auto6.8
Teleop13.4
End1.3
Second
3465
#20
14.71.8
12.414.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End2.2
blue by 2.0
3284
#16
16.71.1
15.516.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End0.6
Third
4523
#21
9.31.8
7.79.4
Auto2.7
Teleop6.4
End0.2
blue by 7.0
1561
#28
16.31.0
15.216.1
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed