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Red48
233318.8
3112.4
441813.7
Blue62
156116.3
432921.5
294517.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48642040801001204862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.80.1
18.918.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End1.5
blue by 2.7
21.50.2
21.621.7
Auto6.8
Teleop13.4
End1.3
Second
4418
#17
13.70.1
13.813.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End0.4
blue by 4.0
2945
#12
17.70.2
17.818.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Third
31
#25
12.40.1
12.512.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End1.9
blue by 4.0
1561
#28
16.30.2
16.316.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End0.5