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Red71
346514.7
203617.2
449924.8
Blue51
294517.7
432921.5
156116.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6161556065707151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#13
24.80.5
24.224.7
Auto9.5
Teleop11.2
End4.1
red by 3.3
21.50.1
21.421.3
Auto6.8
Teleop13.4
End1.3
Second
17.20.4
16.717.1
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End1.3
blue by 0.5
2945
#12
17.70.1
17.717.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Third
3465
#20
14.70.4
14.214.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End2.2
blue by 1.6
1561
#28
16.30.1
16.116.0
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End0.5