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Red49
555020.3
316015.4
299619.9
Blue50
233318.8
3112.4
441813.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6746204060801001204950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.4
21.120.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End1.5
red by 1.5
18.80.2
18.718.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Second
2996
#11
19.90.4
20.820.4
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 6.3
4418
#17
13.70.2
13.613.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End0.4
Third
3160
#24
15.40.4
16.315.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End1.7
red by 3.1
31
#25
12.40.2
12.212.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End1.9