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Red40
54087.2
270219.0
808116.8
Blue3
40157.3
77222.5
87656.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3625102030405060403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.7
11.410.7
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End1.5
red by 11.7
4015
#18
7.31.4
6.24.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Second
8081
#13
16.80.7
9.89.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.7
red by 10.3
8765
#15
6.52.3
9.67.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End0.9
Third
5408
#26
7.20.7
9.89.1
Auto1.1
Teleop4.8
End1.3
red by 4.7
7722
#25
2.52.3
8.15.8
Auto0.5
Teleop0.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed