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Red33
587012.7
468813.3
959211.8
Blue51
21621.7
685914.4
97826.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324302060801001201403351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4688
#19
13.30.8
13.412.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End2.0
blue by 8.4
216
#11
21.70.6
21.922.4
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End2.8
Second
12.70.8
7.26.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.7
End2.2
blue by 1.7
6859
#10
14.40.9
10.911.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End1.0
Third
9592
#14
11.80.8
10.09.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End0.4
red by 5.3
9782
#20
6.60.9
4.95.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed