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Red48
95255.9
702213.9
2448.1
Blue55
909827.4
28819.2
959211.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1664040801004855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7022
#17
13.90.9
6.17.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 13.5
27.40.5
25.925.4
Auto9.4
Teleop15.0
End2.9
Second
244
#24
8.10.5
7.07.6
Auto1.3
Teleop5.0
End1.8
blue by 11.1
288
#7
19.20.5
17.416.9
Auto7.2
Teleop10.9
End1.2
Third
9525
#23
5.90.9
6.97.8
Auto1.1
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 5.9
9592
#14
11.80.8
9.18.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed