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Red42
77222.5
491722.2
76907.0
Blue19
95255.9
270219.0
97826.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413301020506070804219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.0
15.014.0
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End1.9
red by 3.2
19.02.9
12.89.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End1.5
Second
7690
#27
7.01.0
11.09.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.1
End0.7
red by 0.4
9782
#20
6.61.0
7.26.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Third
7722
#25
2.51.0
10.29.2
Auto0.5
Teleop0.2
End1.8
blue by 3.4
9525
#23
5.90.9
7.16.2
Auto1.1
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned