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Red51
54087.2
959211.8
368330.4
Blue66
490729.4
909827.4
95255.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466402040801005166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.8
26.126.9
Auto11.4
Teleop17.8
End1.1
red by 1.0
29.41.1
22.823.9
Auto13.5
Teleop13.2
End2.7
Second
9592
#14
11.80.8
8.39.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End0.4
blue by 15.5
27.40.7
25.426.1
Auto9.4
Teleop15.0
End2.9
Third
5408
#26
7.20.8
9.410.2
Auto1.1
Teleop4.8
End1.3
red by 1.3
9525
#23
5.91.1
7.88.9
Auto1.1
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned