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Red15
97826.6
87896.5
50317.1
Blue56
368330.4
702213.9
87656.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16500204060801556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5031
#22
7.10.6
1.91.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 23.3
30.41.5
26.327.9
Auto11.4
Teleop17.8
End1.1
Second
9782
#20
6.60.9
5.44.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 7.3
7022
#17
13.91.5
9.611.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Third
8789
#21
6.50.9
11.010.1
Auto3.0
Teleop1.6
End1.9
red by 0.1
8765
#15
6.51.5
5.36.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed