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Red45
77222.5
97826.6
132530.1
Blue61
702213.9
490729.4
35608.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385002060801004561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.1
26.926.9
Auto8.5
Teleop19.8
End1.7
red by 0.7
29.41.2
26.227.3
Auto13.5
Teleop13.2
End2.7
Second
9782
#20
6.60.1
4.54.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 7.3
7022
#17
13.91.2
11.112.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Third
7722
#25
2.50.1
4.34.2
Auto0.5
Teleop0.2
End1.8
blue by 5.6
3560
#16
8.11.2
6.57.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed