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Red10
77222.5
95255.9
87896.5
Blue79
958016.6
50317.1
368330.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125602040801001079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8789
#21
6.50.4
6.76.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.6
End1.9
blue by 23.8
30.41.8
27.028.7
Auto11.4
Teleop17.8
End1.1
Second
9525
#23
5.90.4
6.35.9
Auto1.1
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 10.7
16.61.6
14.516.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End1.5
Third
7722
#25
2.50.4
2.82.4
Auto0.5
Teleop0.2
End1.8
blue by 4.6
5031
#22
7.11.6
3.95.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed