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Red26
35608.1
808116.8
50317.1
Blue46
28819.2
87656.5
95255.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283902060801001201402646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8081
#13
16.81.4
11.29.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.7
blue by 2.4
288
#7
19.20.2
18.118.2
Auto7.2
Teleop10.9
End1.2
Second
3560
#16
8.11.4
11.410.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End0.7
red by 1.6
8765
#15
6.50.3
9.39.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End0.9
Third
5031
#22
7.10.8
3.93.1
Auto2.2
Teleop3.8
End1.1
red by 1.2
9525
#23
5.90.3
6.26.5
Auto1.1
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed