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Red69
959211.8
808116.8
28819.2
Blue58
87896.5
21621.7
40157.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543602060801006958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#7
19.20.2
19.019.2
Auto7.2
Teleop10.9
End1.2
blue by 2.5
216
#11
21.70.2
21.521.7
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End2.8
Second
8081
#13
16.80.2
16.516.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.7
red by 9.4
4015
#18
7.30.2
7.27.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Third
9592
#14
11.80.2
11.611.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End0.4
red by 5.3
8789
#21
6.50.2
6.46.5
Auto3.0
Teleop1.6
End1.9